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Book Review
by Richard M. Ebeling, September
2000
Power and Prosperity: Outgrowing Communist and Capitalist
Dictatorships, by Mancur Olson (New York: Basic Books, 2000); 233
pages; $28.
MANCUR OLSON,
who died in 1998 at the age of 62, was one of the most insightful
economic analysts of the political process. His most original and
important work was The Logic of Collective Action: Public Goods and
the Theory of Groups, published in 1965. He developed an analysis
of the political process that focused on the different incentives within
and between interest groups of different sizes. He argued that the larger
the group attempting to reach a collective consensus, the less likely the
effort will be successful. The smaller and more cohesive a group, the
easier it would be to agree upon a course of action.
For example, suppose that in a society
of one million people, 100 are dairy farmers. And suppose that these
hundred farmers form an association to lobby the legislature for a
minimum price for dairy products that increases the price of, say, a quart
of milk by 5¢. If it was estimated that each of the one million people in
the society purchases two quarts of milk, then an extra $100,000 in
revenue would be earned by the members of the dairy association (two
million quarts times 5¢ extra per quart), or on average an extra $1,000 of
revenue per dairy farmer. Suppose that it was estimated that it would
cost the dairy association $10,000 to have a successful lobbying effort.
Then each of the 100 farmers would need to contribute only $100 to obtain
a $1,000 return through political plunder.
But why would the society at large,
the one million people minus the 100 dairy farmers, not counterlobby to
resist and prevent this political plundering of $100,000 of their income?
Because for each of the one million individuals in the society, the cost of
this politically created income transfer of $100,000 is only 10¢ (two
quarts of milk purchased by each of the one million people at an extra 5¢
per quart equals the $100,000). The amount each individual would save,
10¢, by defeating the dairy lobby would not be worth the cost of
contributing to an anti-dairy-farm lobbying effort, even if each
persons contribution to such an effort were as much as, say, 25¢
per person. The concentration of benefits towards special-interest groups
and the diffusion of the burden or cost of the privileges among the rest of
the members of the society, Olson explained, are why it is so difficult
either to stop the growth of the interventionist-welfare state or to
actually reverse it.
Olson devoted much of his efforts in
later years to analyzing under what circumstances such networks of
special-interest groups might be weakened and defeated. His 1982 book,
The Rise and Decline of Nations: Economic Growth, Stagflation and
Social Rigidities, suggested that only major social upheavals, such
as war, were strong enough to shatter the political structures that
perpetuate systems of privilege and redistribution once they exist.
Power and Prosperity
was the last work he finished before his untimely death two years ago. He
explains the origin of the state, the limits of plunder under autocratic and
communist regimes, the difficulties in transitions from planned
economies to market economies, and the political and constitutional
institutions essential for both the establishment and preservation of
individual freedom and free-market prosperity.
The state and plunder
He argues that the origin of the state
can be seen in the replacement of roving bands of plundering thieves by a
stationary bandit who settles down to rule over a territory over a
prolonged period. The roving band cares nothing for what happens in the
area it has looted and then left behind. But the stationary bandit, who
wants to live off the conquered area permanently, has to take into the
consideration the conditions and the incentives of his subjects if they are
to keep producing and therefore creating something for him to plunder
through taxation year after year.
Thus, out of the taxes he imposes he
must also, in his own interest, to some extent secure his subjects
property rights, enforce their contracts, establish a judicial system to
adjudicate their disputes, and even supply some public
goods, such as roads and harbors to facilitate commerce. His goal
is to extract the greatest amount of tax revenue for himself at the least
cost of respecting and enforcing the property rights of his subjects, but
he must offer some degree of such security for his subjects. Otherwise,
their incentive to produce the wealth out of which his tax revenues come
might be minimized.
Olson offers a fascinating analysis of
how in the Soviet Union in the 1930s, Stalin manipulated peoples
incentives in such a way that even though all private property in the
means of production had been abolished and wages kept low, individuals
were motivated to exceed assigned production levels. All extra income
earned in the form of bonuses or access to quantities of goods otherwise
difficult to acquire, by producing above assigned quotas, were tax-free (or
equal to a marginal tax rate of zero). But physical threats and financial
bonuses, to extract greater physical output from Soviet workers, could not
compensate for the fact that without market prices production
decision-making was fundamentally irrational, and over time coalitions of
bureaucratic interest groups, along with the senior leadership of the
Communist Party, manipulated and plundered the Soviet economy.
While democracies have certain
fundamental institutional advantages over autocratic or dictatorial
regimes, the tendency for the democratic process to degenerate into
special-interest-group politics means that often the degree of
redistributional plunder can be almost as harmful to the economic
well-being of a society as under a nondemocratic regime. Indeed, the difficulty
for many of the former socialist societies is that the new democratic
political environment is one that makes it easy for the obsolete and
unprofitable industries left over from the years of central planning to now
form lobbying coalitions to resist privatization and free-market reforms
and to extract subsidies to keep their workers employed at jobs making
goods that have no positive market value.
Markets and market relationships,
Olson explains, emerge spontaneously and without government support and
enforcement. The discovered potentials for mutual gains from trade create
incentives for people to develop and respect various rules of commerce
and contract, even without legal delineation and protection. He calls these
self-enforcing markets. Such self-enforcing market rules
and relationships pervade all societies in which political regulations,
controls, and taxation generate the incentives for people to interact in the
underground economy.
But there are many forms of market
relationships that are difficult to establish, delineate, and enforce
without a formal legal structure in a political community with the police
power to protect rights, enforce various types of contracts, and
administer justice. Without this legal order, the members of society may
not be able to reap all the benefits from a better-defined and more secure
set of market associations.
The other ingredient essential for
men to be free and prosperous is to prevent both private and political
plunder. The answer to this problem, unfortunately, is least
well-developed in Olsons book.
But what is clear is that he believed
that to answer the problem of political plunder it was every mans
duty to understand why freedom was essential to a healthy human
condition and why the fallacies of government interventions and
redistributive schemes had to be challenged and overthrown in the arena
of political debate. The use of our reason to explain freedom and free
markets, he hoped, would be sufficient to eventually defeat the forces of
political power and plunder.
Professor Ebeling is the Ludwig von Mises Professor of Economics at Hillsdale College, Hillsdale, Michigan, and serves as vice president of academic affairs for The Future of Freedom Foundation.
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