Social Security is not only
the cornerstone of the welfare state, it is the most expensive item in the
federal budget. The Social Security system provides benefits for retirement,
disability, survivorship, and death to 54 million Americans at a price
to its 157 million taxpayers of more than $700 billion a
year.
Social Security is a relic
from the New Deal. The first taxes were levied in 1937. The program has always
been funded by payroll tax deductions, unlike the income tax, which was not
withheld from paychecks until the passage of the Current Tax Payment Act of
1943.
The original Social Security
tax rate was 2 percent, split between employers and employees, on the
first $3,000 in earnings. The rate was not supposed to rise above 6 percent,
and the maximum taxable earnings were not supposed to change. We know this
because of a 1936 government
pamphlet on Social Security that said so:
... During the
next 3 years, beginning January 1, 1937, you will pay 1 cent for every
dollar you earn, and at the same time your employer will pay 1 cent for every
dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year....
After the first 3 year [sic] that is to say, beginning in 1940
you will pay, and your employer will pay, 1.5 cents for each dollar
you earn, up to $3,000 a year. This will be the tax for 3 years, and
then, beginning in 1943, you will pay 2 cents, and so will your
employer, for every dollar you earn for the next 3 years. After that,
you and your employer will each pay half a cent more for 3 years, and
finally, beginning in 1949, twelve years from now, you and your employer will
each pay 3 cents on each dollar you earn, up to $3,000 a year. That is
the most you will ever pay.
The contribution and
benefit base of $3,000 was the first thing to go by the wayside. It
increased to $3,600 in 1951 and has gone up steadily ever since, sometimes each
year. After holding steady at $106,800 for the past three years, it is
scheduled to increase to $110,100 beginning in 2012.
The Social Security tax rate
did not increase to 3 percent (1.5 percent for both employers
and employees) until 1950. It was not until 1954 that it went up to a total of
4 percent and not until 1960 that it reached 6 percent. But that was
not the most that Americans would ever pay. By 1970 the
rate was more than 8 percent, and by 1980 the rate was more than 10 percent.
Although Ronald Reagan is often praised as a great tax cutter, I hasten to
point out that the Social Security tax rate increased from 10.7 percent
when he took office to 12.12 percent when he left. After one more
increase under George H.W. Bush, the rate has held steady at 12.4 percent
since 1990.
As part of a deal reached
between Democrats and Republicans late last year to extend the Bush income tax
cuts for two years, certain tax cuts were extended, the estate tax was
reinstated, unemployment benefits were extended, and the Social Security tax
rate was lowered for employees from 6.2 percent to 4.2 percent
for one year (2011). The Democrats were the winners there. The income tax cuts
were extended (that is, taxes were not cut), the estate tax (which had fallen
to zero) was revived with a $5 million exemption and a maximum rate of
35 percent, unemployment benefits (that is, paying people to not work)
were extended, and the payroll tax was cut (which mainly helps Democratic
constituents).
Beginning with one of his
weekend radio addresses a few months ago, Barack Obama proposed extending the
temporary payroll tax cut: There are things we can do right now that
will mean more customers for businesses and more jobs across the country. We
can cut payroll taxes again, so families have an extra $1,000 to spend.
It was a surprise that congressional
Republicans
in both the House and the Senate were not very excited about the idea. And
neither were some
Republican
presidential candidates.
With the end of 2011 looming,
various plans to extend the payroll tax cut were discussed, including an
idea to also lower the employer share of the Social Security tax that fell by
the wayside.
In a commentary posted on December 12,
Charles
Blahous, a research fellow with the Hoover Institution and one of six
members of the Social Security Board of Trustees (made up of two public
trustees, the Social Security commissioner, and the secretaries of the
Departments of Treasury, Labor, and Health and Human Services), maintained that
extending the payroll tax cut could eventually end Social Security as
we know it.
Because of the current and
potential future decreases in Social Security tax revenue, Blahous reasons that
the ongoing effort to partially convert Social Security from
payroll-tax-financing to income-tax-financing by further cutting the
payroll tax as a stimulus measure and replacing the funds with general revenues
may in short order put an end to the longstanding conception of
Social Security as a benefit earned by worker contributions.
According to some
estimates,
funding for Social Security in 2011 was $105 billion less than
expected because of the payroll tax cut. Extending the cut for 2012 is
projected to cost the Social Security Trust Fund another $119 billion.
Democrats want to increase other taxes to pay for the payroll tax cut;
Republicans want to offset the shortfall by cutting spending.
On December 13, the House passed a 370-page bill
(H.R.3630)
called the Middle Class Tax Relief and Job Creation Act of 2011.
Among many provisions, such as extending unemployment benefits, it included a
provision (sec. 2001) to extend the payroll tax cut until the end of
2012. The Senate then passed a greatly reduced, 34-page version of the bill
with the new title Temporary Payroll Tax Cut Continuation Act of
2011. The bill, which also extends unemployment benefits, extended
the payroll tax cut for only two months. A comparison between the House and
Senate versions of the bill can be seen
here.
But after voting 229-193 against the Senate version of the bill, the House,
bowing to intense pressure from the Senate, the White House, and the general
public, reversed course and agreed with the Senate on a slightly modified version
of the bill on December 23, which Obama promptly signed into law.
But even if no more
reductions in payroll taxes are ever enacted, the Social Security system will
still require massive subsidies from the general fund to maintain its solvency.
For years Social Security generated more in tax revenue than it spent on
benefits. The balance makes up part of the $2.68 trillion Trust Fund
balance. However, since 2010, the system has run a deficit. According to Social
Security trustee Charles Blahous, 5 percent of the Trust Fund balance
is a subsidy from the general fund. That percentage is projected to grow as
more baby boomers retire and more is paid out in benefits than is received in
taxes, and more so depending on how long and to what extent the payroll tax cut
is extended in the future.
But as Blahous also
acknowledges, 60 percent of the Social Security Trust Fund is made up
of interest credits from the general fund; that is, IOUs from one part of the
government to another. Interest payments to the Trust Fund are simply
a further liability facing subsequent income taxpayers.
The whole Social Security
system is one gigantic fraud. There is no real trust fund. There is no physical
lock box. There is no individual retirement account in the name of each
taxpayer. There is no pension plan for every American. There is no correlation
between what is paid in taxes and what is received in benefits. The whole thing
is based on fictitious accounting principles instead of generally accepted
ones.
Extending the payroll tax cut
will not end Social Security as we know it. It doesnt matter how much
or how little is collected from the payroll tax. The money is spent as soon as
Congress gets its greedy hands on it. Social Security checks are drawn on the
U.S. Treasury, not some mythical trust fund. And benefits could be paid in
perpetuity regardless of the amount in taxes that is collected.
In order to really end Social
Security as we know it, it must be recognized for the income-transfer,
wealth-redistribution plan that it is and abolished in its entirety.
Laurence M. Vance is a policy advisor for the Future of Freedom Foundation and the author
of The Revolution That Wasnt. Visit his website:
www.vancepublications.com. Send
him email.
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