People in parts of the developing world are becoming more
free, better educated, and increasingly dexterous with
modern communications, such as the Internet. As a result,
they are more vigorously participating in the world
economy. They are in a position to make things and do
things for us that they could not have done a short time
ago. They are even making and doing things for
lower wages that Americans do.
Will this be a boon or a threat to us? That is the
question.
Some people see a threat. Economist Paul Craig Roberts
and Sen. Charles Schumer of New York co-wrote an article
recently arguing that the venerable economic theory that
justified free trade in the past no longer applies.
Conditions have changed, they argue. The easy mobility of
software and data now makes it possible for low-wage
workers in the developing world to compete with high-wage
Americans. They offer the example of an American company
outsourcing jobs to $20,000-a-year computer
programmers in Asia and costing $150,000-a-year American
programmers their jobs. Before such factor
mobility, Roberts and Schumer say, every country
could specialize in the work it was best at, and the laws
of economics assured that everyone benefited. But that
day is past because factor mobility will send many
top-paying knowledge jobs abroad, leaving many Americans with
nothing much to do. And the jobs that are left will be
low-paying.
Now theres a doomsday scenario. Is it accurate? No.
Or at least, it doesnt need to be.
The reports of the death of free-trade theory have been
greatly exaggerated, as Mark Twain might say. The
economic principle in question is the law of comparative
advantage, which states that everyone will find it to his
advantage to specialize in making the goods hes
best at and trade for rest. This is true for people who
are highly efficient at many lines of work. Even they
will be better off if they concentrate on what they are
most best at and leave the rest to others.
(That is why a dentist hires a hygienist to clean teeth.)
Roberts and Schumer insist this law operates only when
capital cannot easily move to other countries. Otherwise
the law is kaput. They say this, but they do not
demonstrate it. It is certainly true, for the reasons
noted above, that Chinese and Indian workers can now
compete against Americans in ways they could not do so
before. But that does not mean that they will not benefit
from specialization. The premium from the division of
labor is universal. It is inherent in human action. That
information can move at the speed of light from Manhattan
to New Delhi and back does not change that.
As George Mason University economist Tyler Cowen wrote,
Basically Roberts is peddling snake oil. His
argument boils down to old-style protectionism, dressed
up in new rhetorical garb, not new substance.
Nevertheless, Roberts has a point. Free trade often
requires adjustment to new conditions. Perhaps this will
be true of hitherto secure computer programmers and other
knowledge workers, who may see their incomes fall. But
keep in mind that, while nominal wages may fall, real
wages may not. Thats because free trade and the
resulting increased productivity of labor and resources
will translate into more and lower-priced goods and
services. Dont forget: The American firm in Robertss example now has $130,000 per
laid-off worker to invest in new products and services.
We can all sympathize with people who suddenly need to
find new jobs or learn new skills. In fact, because of
this potential hardship, something should be done
something radical and soon. Our new era requires
immediate and full deregulation of the economy, repeal of
taxes, cuts in government spending, and the institution
of sound market-based money (that is, abolition of the
Federal Reserve). The threat of frivolous lawsuits
against business must also be ended. All government
intervention impedes investment and the creation of new
opportunities for good-paying work. It is more urgent
than ever that the government get out of the way of the
productive people of this country.
The worst thing would be even more interference in the
form of new trade restrictions. What we need is full free
trade domestically and internationally.
Sheldon Richman is senior fellow at The Future of Freedom Foundation, author of Tethered Citizens: Time to Repeal the Welfare State, and editor of The Freeman magazine. Send him email.
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