Central economic planning was discredited in the old
Soviet Union and every other country that attempted it.
What the great economist Ludwig von Mises showed in
theory in the 1920s was then demonstrated in practice in
subsequent decades: central economic planning is
impossible.
Most people will agree when the issue is economywide
planning. But many forget the lessons of failed socialism
when it comes to individual markets and industries. Thus
we are told that the free market is fine except
for agriculture, the electronic media, medical care,
banking, insurance, steel, textiles, securities, natural
gas, pensions, and many other things. And, oh yes,
electrical power.
Since the historic blackout, politicians and commentators
have hastened to declare even before they knew
what caused the outage that deregulation, that is,
the free market, was the culprit. The verdict and
execution come first. The trial? Perhaps well have
time for that later.
Theres one tiny problem with this rush to judgment.
The free market has an airtight alibi. It was nowhere
near the scene of the crime.
The free market has not been allowed to operate in the
generation, transmission, and retailing of electrical
power. Many people think it has lately, but they are
wrong. As the Cato Institutes Jerry Taylor and
Peter VanDoren wrote in the Wall Street
Journal, While regulations pertaining to the
generation and retail sale of electricity were loosened
somewhat, regulations pertaining to the transmission grid
increased not decreased as part of the
reform exercise.
California, the land of alleged power deregulation, is
often used to indict free markets. There the authorities
froze retail electricity prices even when wholesale
prices were rising. (Other stifling regulations were also
imposed on every stage of the industry.) Anyone with a
smattering of economics would know this is the way to
cause shortages in this case, blackouts. If retail
prices cannot move freely in response to changes in
demand and other conditions, misleading signals are
transmitted in all directions. When higher demand would
have raised prices, signaling to end-users that they
should conserve, government price controls kept those
users from getting the message. Demand continued to rise,
squeezing utilities, whose prices were not capped, until
a crisis hit. In the name of keeping consumer prices low
and preventing profiteering, the controllers made a vital
service unreliable.
Call it what you like, but controlling retail prices
while wholesale prices rise in an industry burdened with
restrictions is not a free market.
In the 19th century a great debate occurred between
economists in Austria (most notably Carl Menger) and the
German historicists (led by the socialist Gustav
Schmoller). The crux of the debate was whether there are
timeless economic laws that operate independently of the
will of would-be planners. The Austrians insisted there
were. The historicists said no. While the discipline of
economics survived that debate, many policymakers and
commentators are of the old Historical School, whether
they know it or not. They believe that governments can
ignore economics with impunity. (I doubt that the
blackout will prompt them to abandon that discredited
belief.)
When economists say that prices send critical signals to
producers and consumers about the supply of and demand
for scarce resources and warn of disaster if
government squelches those signals our modern-day
historicists (including some with doctorates in
economics) scoff and insist their decrees can override
the laws of economics. When the economists demonstrate
that private property, free exchange, and the resulting
price system are indispensable to the success of a modern
economy, the anti-economists sniff that no economic
theory should be allowed to limit the prerogatives of
enlightened planners, who know better than the collective
wisdom represented by the free market.
Well, the anti-economists have had their way in the
electric-power industry for many years. Its the
same industry they now claim is inadequate for
21st-century America. But what do they blame? The free market,
of course. And what do they propose? A more intensive
form of the very central planning that got us into this
pickle.
Sheldon Richman is senior fellow at The Future of Freedom Foundation, author of Tethered Citizens: Time to Repeal the Welfare State, and editor of Ideas on Liberty magazine. Send him email.
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