The record-shattering bombardment of Iraq hasnt
begun yet, but that doesnt mean its too soon
to think about which American companies will get
contracts to rebuild the soon-to-be devastated Arab
country. According to the Washington Post,
the Bush administration is preparing what would
constitute the most ambitious U.S. rebuilding project
since the aftermath of World War II. Any time now
contracts worth hundreds of millions of
dollars will be awarded.
The usual well-connected companies were invited to bid:
Bechtel Group, Halliburton Co., Fluor Corp., and more.
More often than not, these companies share one of two
characteristics and sometimes both: directors or officers
who used to hold high-ranking positions in the defense or
state departments, and former directors and officers who
currently hold such positions. Just a coincidence, of
course.
No one should draw any adverse conclusions from these
developments. After all, the U.S. government has to bomb
Iraq and someone will have to rebuild it. Why not good
loyal American companies? You cynics should be ashamed of
yourselves. No one of goodwill could suggest that the
Bush administration would go to war merely to help these
friendly corporations prosper. Just think of it as a
fringe benefit to the moral crusade about to be launched
to bring peace and democracy to the Arab world. Doing
well by doing good ... who can complain?
While no one would suggest that the purpose of the war is
the reconstruction, a few people seem to believe that the
reconstruction will be good for the American economy
nonetheless. At first glance it might appear that
building new buildings, roads, power plants, and the rest
will revitalize what now looks like a moribund U.S
marketplace. Those American firms, stimulated by the
lucrative contracts, will have to hire workers and buy
equipment and materials. That will in turn have various
ripple effects, as suppliers see their business increase
and workers have new income to spend on an array of
consumer goods. We might must conclude that war is the
best economic stimulus of all.
But its not true. As a 19th-century economist,
Frédéric Bastiat, pointed out, wealth cannot
come from destruction. It may appear to do so because we
are focused on a specific economic interest. But when we
look at everyone concerned, we see that the benefits
accruing to one company have come at the expense of
others. There is no net gain.
Bastiat called this the broken window fallacy
because he illustrated the idea with the fable of a shop
window broken by a mischievous youth. Someone in the
gathering crowd tries to look at the bright side of the
incident by pointing out that when the shop owner pays
for his new window, money will circulate through the town
and bring new prosperity.
The fallacy, of course, is that if the shopkeeper
didnt have to buy a new window, hed have used
his money to buy something else. Instead of a window, he
might have bought a suit of clothes. His spending to
replace the window doesnt enrich community. It just
brings it back to the condition it was before the window
was broken. There is a loss not a gain. Bastiats
point was that you have to consider the
unseen effects namely, the spending
that will not occur because the window has to be
replaced.
Now think of Iraq. All the money that is going to be
spent rebuilding that country would have been available
for other things that people want. Thats true no
matter where the money comes from. If the government
raises taxes, the cost to the taxpayers is obvious. If it
borrows the money, that amount will also be unavailable
for investment in consumer projects. If it creates money
through inflation, the devalued money in our pockets will
buy much less.
The Bush administration hints that the reconstruction
costs could come from Iraqi oil revenues and from allies.
Dont hold your breath. The American people are not
likely to get off the hook. Besides, without war and
under free trade, those oil revenues would be buying
products made by Americans (and others). Theres no
such thing as a free lunch.
Sheldon Richman is senior fellow at The Future of Freedom Foundation, editor of Ideas on Liberty magazine, and author of Ancient History: U.S. Conduct in the Middle East since World War II and the Folly of Intervention.
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